Last season, Aaron Rodgers won the fourth NFL MVP Award of his career and his second in a row. In order to determine which players represent value at their offseason odds, we examine the NFL MVP futures market and assess the top picks.
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp had an exceptional season in 2021, and he was still available at around +15000 to win the NFL MVP late in the season. Does it really make sense to buy anyone in the NFL MVP market who is not a quarterback early in the process? I would argue no, and we have basically drawn a line in the sand that this is a quarterback award.
It is also important to note how the voting process works for this award. There are 50 voters, and each casts one vote for the winner. It is not possible for you to win this award because you received more second- and third-place votes than anyone else. This is important because it emphasizes the importance of distinguishing yourself as the best player in the NFL.
In placing futures bets, you must always consider two factors: will this player actually win the market, and are their odds only going to become shorter from here on out, relative to the early number? If the answer is yes to both of these questions, then you should consider purchasing that specific player.