NFL odds are out at the best sports betting sites for player futures markets such as the most regular-season passing yards. Have a look at the odds and our picks and predictions to be the NFL leader in regular season passing yards in 2023.
The 2022-23 NFL season was a coronation for Patrick Mahomes. The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback won NFL MVP, Super Bowl MVP, and was the league's leader in passing yards. As a result, Mahomes is the betting favorite in the NFL MVP odds for 2023 and to lead the league in passing for a second consecutive season.
Here are our picks on the quarterback to record the most regular-season passing yards in 2023, using odds from our best NFL betting sites.
NFL most regular season passing yards odds 2023
(odds as of June 7)
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +500 ?? | +450 | +400 ?? | +420 |
| Joe Burrow | +600 | +700 ?? | +600 | +600 |
| Justin Herbert | +700 | +700 | +600 ?? | +750 ?? |
| Josh Allen | +1000 | +1400 ?? | +900 ?? | +1100 |
| Kirk Cousins | +1000 | +1000 | +900 | +800 ?? |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1500 ?? |
| Trevor Lawrence | +1400 | +1600 ?? | +1200 ?? | +1500 |
| Jared Goff | +1600 | +1800 ?? | +1400 ?? | +1500 |
| Dak Prescott | +1800 | +2000 ?? | +1800 | +1800 |
| Derek Carr | +2000 | +2000 | +1800 | +1800 |
NFL most regular season passing yards odds analysis
Prices vary across our best sportsbooks, but FanDuel provides bettors with the most value for many of the top contenders in this market.
BetMGM consistently provides the worst odds compared to its competitors.
NFL most regular season passing yards odds movement
Odds in this market should move on a week-to-week basis during the season. In the interim, they'll fluctuate due to training camp developments and injuries.
NFL most regular season passing yards 2023: Favorite
Mahomes was the only passer in the league to surpass 5,000 yards last season, and he did so after losing his top wideout Tyreek Hill.
Mahomes h as ranked in the top five in passing in each of the last three seasons. He's the favorite to top the league again, but again lost a top target when JuJu Smith-Schuster departed in free agency. Unless the Chiefs sign DeAndre Hopkins, the receiving corps is too shallow to back Mahomes at this price.
NFL most regular season passing yards 2023: Contender
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert finished second behind Mahomes in passing yards last year. In fact, Herbert has been the runner-up in this category the past two seasons.
The Chargers' gunslinger will be working with the best collection of receivers he's had in his young career, after the team drafted TCU star Quentin Johnston to line up alongside wideouts Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, and tight end Gerald Everett.
Herbert will also benefit from having former Dallas Cowboys offens ive coordinator Kellen Moore leading the Chargers' offense.
NFL most regular season passing yards 2023: Long shot
Surprisingly listed outside the top 10 on the oddsboard is New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
Despite his 18 seasons in Green Bay, four MVPs, and 10 Pro Bowl seasons, Rodgers has never led the league in passing in any one season. He'll get the chance to do so for the first time with his new team.
It's all lined up for Rodgers. He has his hand-chosen offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, a combination of trusted receivers in Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb, and young upstarts in Garrett Wilson and Mecole Hardman.
NFL most regular season passing yards 2023: Fade
On the flip side, we're surprised to see Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott so high up the oddsboard. He lost his offensive coordinator and will have head coach Mike McCarthy in his ear, calling the plays.
CeeDee Lamb is an elite No. 1 receiver, but Brandin Cooks and Michael Gallup are a significant drop down. The Cowboys also lost productive tight end Dalton Schultz and will attempt to replace him with rookie Luke Schoonmaker.
NFL most regular season passing yards leaders
| Season | Player | Yards |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | 5,250 |
| 2021 | Tom Brady | 5,316 |
| 2020 | Deshaun Watson | 4,823 |
| 2019 | Jameis Winston | 5,109 |
| 2018 | Ben Roethlisberger | 5,129 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | 4,577 |
| 2016 | Drew Brees | 5,208 |
| 2015 | Drew Brees | 4,870 |
NFL most regular season passing yards FAQs
At the conclusion of Week 18 of the regular season, the player with the most passing yards through the season will be determined as the passing leader.
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