Week 17 of the NFL season concludes with the Buffalo Bills visiting the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football at 8:15 pm ET on ESPN. Our NFL expert, Clevta, has a best bet and predictions for the game.
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Clevta’s Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals best bet: Bills -1 (-110)
It should be a great Monday Night showdown between the two of the top three teams in the AFC. By now you have heard that the Bengals are 19-3 ATS in Burrow's last 22 starts. But you not all of that has come easy. They easily could have lost outright if not for Rhamondre Stevenson's fumble inside the 10 but also the Pats missed three extra points as well. The prior week the Bucs were dominating the first half but then a series of flukey turnovers gave the Bengals constant great field position in their win. Not all of these covers and wins have been blowouts. This great run is also baked into the line. Consider that the Chiefs were 2.5 point favorites in Cincinnati just a few weeks ago. The same Chiefs who were 2.5 point underdogs at home against these Bills, meaning the market valued Buffalo as multiple points better than the Chiefs on a neutral field. So for the Bills to be 1.5 points less of a favorite in the same spot as the Chiefs were just a month ago, means that there has been a big correction in the Bengals value. This is likely Buffalo -3 if this game were played just a few weeks ago. The question is if you feel comfortable to fade Joe Burrow and company right now, even if you think it's the wrong price.