The NFL draft begins with the first round on Thursday, and we're offering our top 2024 NFL Draft betting predictions and expert picks based on the best NFL odds.
After months of evaluations, workouts, meetings, and medical exams, all 32 teams in the NFL are getting ready to add fresh faces to their rosters during the 2024 NFL Draft, set for April 25 to 27 in Detroit, Mich.
The influx of talent will boost the Super Bowl odds for some teams, while others hope to follow in the footsteps of the New York Jets and Houston Texans and land favorites by the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds and Defensive Rookie of the Year odds.
The unpredictability of the draft, and promise of a better future, make it one of the most electric events on the NFL calendar, and one of the toughest to bet on when assessing the NFL draft odds.
The re's plenty of intrigue as our best sports betting sites constantly shift the odds over the last month. So unsure of how it could unfold, we asked ChatGPT to make a 2024 NFL mock draft as we try to prepare for Thursday night's madness.
Here are our NFL draft betting predictions and expert picks for Thursday night (odds via our
best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
2024 NFL Draft expert picks
- Byron Murphy II first defensive player selected (+250 via DraftKings) ???
- Drake Maye No. 2 pick (+400 via BetMGM) ??
- Ladd McConkey first round pick (+100 via FanDuel) ????
- J.J. McCarthy top five pick (-140 via bet365) ????
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2024 NFL Draft prop bets
A day ahead of the 2024 NFL Draft, there was a massive build in buzz for Texas' Byron Murphy II to be selected in the first 10 picks. The top interior defensive lineman in the class, Murphy could push to be the first defender off the board.
I t's slightly risky given the Atlanta Falcons, who are expected to be the first team to consider selecting a defensive player, have been connected to Alabama's Dallas Turner for months. However, the Falcons could choose to go with Murphy, trade back, or add another wide receiver for Kirk Cousins, if one of the top pass catchers is on the board.
While these odds imply only a 28.57% probability that Murphy is the first defender picked, according to our odds calculator, he's become the betting favorite to go No. 9 to the Chicago Bears with odds as short as +130. We're banking on the NFL valuing Murphy more than the available pass rushers and cornerbacks in a weak interior D-line class – he also gets the “bubble butt bump.” A $10 wager on these odds would lead to a $25 profit.
Best odds: +250 via DraftKings
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This is a calculated swing with these odds representing just a 20% probability Drake Maye goes No. 2 with a $10 bet paying out $50. This swing is based on the fact that the lead up to the NFL draft is silly season and this time last year Will Levis was the favorite to be selected No. 2 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft – and no team is sillier than the Washington Commanders.
Heisman winner Jayden Daniels is the overwhelming favorite to be selected by the Commanders second overall, and he has been since February, but there was a time when Maye was viewed as the consensus QB2. He's still ranked there by NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah and the Athletic's Dane Brugler, the two most respected draftniks in the industry.
There's been a flurry of rumors regarding Daniels, Maye, the Commanders, and a visit to Topgolf gone wrong, and the odds have been all over the place. The fun of the NFL draft is that there 's very little tangible evidence informing our opinions, and the +400 odds are too good to pass on when Maye is viewed as QB2 by most.
Best odds: +400 via BetMGM
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This might be our favorite value of the entire 2024 NFL Draft. These even-money odds pay out $20 on a $10 wager if Georgia's Ladd McConkey goes on the first night of the draft, and there's a 50% implied probability that he will.
It's no secret this wide receiver class is loaded with as many as four expected to go in the first half of Round 1, but there are plenty of WR-needy teams picking in the 20s. That's where we expect McConkey to go, especially after a dominant pre-draft showing at the Senior Bowl, NFL Combine, and his Pro Day.
Regarded as a top tier route runner in this class, with sub-4.4 speed, McConkey would help playoff teams like the Buffalo Bills or Kansas City Chiefs right away. Plus, the NFL loves guys they can call “sneaky athletic scrappy gym rats.”
Best odds: +100 via FanDuel
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The discourse around J.J. McCarthy has been non-stop, and regardless of how you feel about the national championship-winning QB, he's more likely than not to be one of the first five players off the board. The -140 odds imply a 58.33% probability he goes in the top five with so many teams in need of a young franchise passer.
What's been so interesting about McCarthy leading up to the draft is seeing him go from being rumored to the Minnesota Vikings in a trade up to pick No. 4 or No. 5, to the increased noise that he could go No. 3 to the New England Patriots.
Luckily, we don't care where he ends up doing his pregame meditation, as long as it's with a team selecting in the first five picks. For doubters, it's important to remember that the NFL barely knows more about evaluating QBs than the average fan, and that's why players like Kenny Pickett end up going in the top 20.
Best odds: -140 via bet365
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NFL best bets made Wednesday at 11:20 a.m. ET.
Check out our best NFL betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)