The NFL season is a grueling 17-game gauntlet. The day-by-day demands of the schedule are taxing both mentally and physically. Bye weeks come as an opportunity to rest and recover. When coming off of a bye, playing a team that just competed the following week creates a rest advantage. How can we as bettors target these rest advantages to find an edge betting NFL spreads?
Over the last 10 seasons, teams with a bye week rest advantage win straight up at an above .500 clip, including a 135-130-5 record ATS. Though you won more times than you lost by betting on these teams blindly, you would have finished with a -2.7% return on investment with a standard -110 price. The sportsbooks are wise to the advantages these rested teams have, so it can be difficult to find an edge. Focusing on a couple of trends over the last decade, there are some opportunities for bettors to profit. Let's take a look at two of these trends and find some games on the 2022 schedule to target for rest advantage.
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