We're 9-1 with our NFL best bets since the start of the season and our goal is to stay hot with our picks as we tackle the early slate in Week 3. These are the games that will kick off at approximately 1:00PM ET on Sunday, September 25, so join us as we look to continue winning at a high clip.
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Best Bets for the Early Games on Sunday, September 25, 2022
We wrote this game up earlier in the week and suggested backing the Colts at +7, but we still like Indianapolis to get the job done as a 6-point underdog. The Colts are 16-7 against the spread when coming off a division game under head coach Frank Reich and they have won those games by an average of 4.5 points per game. Indianapolis is also 9-4 ATS when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since Reich took over, which shows you that this is a group that plays well when least expected.
The Colts also happen to be 7-1 ATS when coming off an upset loss, so we expect this team to bounce back from a really poor outing against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Indianapolis will do that by trying to muck this game up. Look for the Colts to really pound the rock with Jonathan Taylor, as that'll tire out the Chiefs defense and kill the clock a bit. That will also serve the purpose of keeping Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense off the field for long stretches, which could make it hard on the group to get into a rhythm. And if the Colts are running the ball effectively, Matt Ryan's job will become a lot easier.