I don't love much of anything from either game this weekend, to be totally frank. But the pick I like the most is just a straightforward play on the Bengals to win.

Mahomes' health and effectiveness is obviously a huge factor in handicapping this game. The way I see it, there are two possible outcomes: Mahomes can be mostly healthy and effective, or he can be obviously limited and ineffective.

If Mahomes is good to go, this is still the Chiefs playing against a Bengals team that is starting to run up quite the head-to-head winning streak in this budding AFC rivalry.'

If he's ineffective – or if he's pulled for Chad Henne – then you don't need me to explain why the Bengals to win is a good bet.

And for what it's worth, Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in home games this season.
  
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