The New Mexico Lobos (2-6) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (3-5) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Logan.
Utah State are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for New Mexico vs. Utah State is 43.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 69.5% confidence.
New Mexico vs Utah State Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Utah State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+4.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico has gone 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / 0% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -61.54% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- New Mexico is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State has gone 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Utah State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -10.3% ROI
- Utah State is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Utah State is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
New Mexico is winless (0-7) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .400
New Mexico is winless (0-7) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .385
New Mexico is 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
New Mexico is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .439
Utah State is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .493
Utah State is 9-2 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .496