The New Mexico Lobos (0-4) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (1-3) on Sep. 28 in Las Cruces, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
Bet now on New Mexico State vs New Mexico & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
New Mexico vs New Mexico State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and New Mexico State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on New Mexico State vs New Mexico and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 6 away games (+5.95 Units / 97% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+15.65 Units / 81% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 79% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico Player Prop Bets Today
- Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kordell David has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- New Mexico is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -75% ROI
- New Mexico is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
- New Mexico is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -15.38% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .490
New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
New Mexico is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418
New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .463
New Mexico State is 7-2 (.700) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .507
New Mexico State is 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
New Mexico State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585
New Mexico State is 10-3 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .604
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 2.9% of 103 attempts this season — worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 353 passing yards in 4 games (just 88.2 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 278.5 passing yards per game this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.