The New Mexico Lobos (0-2) visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. Auburn Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- New Mexico is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- New Mexico is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- Auburn is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -100% ROI
- Auburn is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Auburn is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico is 1-14 (.067) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .447
New Mexico is 1-13 (.071) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
New Mexico is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
New Mexico is 1-17 (.056) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
Auburn is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Auburn is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294
Auburn is 1-5 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .431
Auburn is 2-6 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Auburn’s offense has thrown for 616 passing yards in 2 games (308.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 313.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.