The New Mexico Lobos (2-7) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in U.S. Air Force Academy.
Air Force are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for New Mexico vs. Air Force is 37.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 77.4% confidence.
New Mexico vs Air Force Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+7.45 Units / 103% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.69 Units / 28% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico has gone 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.45 Units / 0% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -65.35% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force has gone 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -14.65% ROI).
- Air Force is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -17.9% ROI
- Air Force is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI
- Air Force is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI
New Mexico is winless (0-7) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399
New Mexico is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .387
New Mexico is 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .423
New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Air Force is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .507
Air Force has gained 726 yards on 32 receptions (22.7 YPR) this season — second-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.