The New Mexico State Aggies (2-5) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen (1-6) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Amherst.
New Mexico State are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for New Mexico State vs. Massachusetts is 39 total points.
Bet now on Massachusetts vs New Mexico State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
New Mexico State vs Massachusetts Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico State will win this game with 52.4% confidence.
New Mexico State vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Massachusetts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+7.61 Units / 44% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.94 Units / 57% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Massachusetts Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+5.15 Units / 129% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State has gone 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -46.49% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- New Mexico State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts has gone 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -58.25% ROI
- Massachusetts is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Massachusetts is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
New Mexico State is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .444
New Mexico State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493
New Mexico State is winless (0-10) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .438
New Mexico State is winless (0-9) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .349
UMass is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493
UMass is 1-12 (.067) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .402
UMass is winless (0-10) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .444