The 2022 college football bowl season'continues on Monday with the Quick Lane Bowl, which pits the New Mexico State Aggies against the Bowling Green Falcons. New Mexico State hasn't made a bowl game since 2017, so th is season has been a nice surprise for the Aztecs. The same can be said for the Bowling Green Falcons, who are in a bowl game just one season removed from an awful 2021 campaign.'
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This should be a fascinating contest so let's take a look'at the best bets to'make for Monday’s Quick Lane Bowl.'
Quick Lane Bowl point-spread prediction: New Mexico State +4
Both teams are at 6-6, but their paths to that record have been quite different. Bowling Green's only victory in their last 3 contests came against Toledo, who had nothing to play for after already securing a spot in the MAC Championship game. They were defeated in their other 2 games by a combined 58 points and ended the season on a run of scoring 17 or fewer points in 5 of their last 7. New Mexico State finished the season with a 6-2 run after opening the year with 4 losses. Although playing against lower competition, the Aggies amassed 49+ points in 3 of their last 4 contests and at least have confidence heading into this one.
As bad as NMSU has been at stopping the run this season, the Aggies rank 14th in the nation in passing yards allowed per game at 184.8. That bodes well for them for this matchup in particular as the Falcons' have shown the ability to throw this year rather than run. The Aggies have also posted a solid 24.3 points allowed per contest this campaign, which helped propel them to a robust 5-1 record ATS to end their regular season. BGSU, on the other hand, has covered just once in the last 4 outings. This feels like a game that could come down to the wire, so taking the start with New Mexico State seems like the smart play.