The Nevada Wolf Pack (2-3) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (3-1) on Oct. 5 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
San Jose St is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Nevada vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Nevada vs San Jose State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nevada vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
San Jose State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nevada Player Prop Bets Today
- Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.67% ROI).
- Nevada is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -12.35% ROI
- Nevada is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -41.28% ROI
- Nevada is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- San Jose State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 10.67% ROI
- San Jose State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- San Jose State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Nevada is 2-7 (.222) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .362
Nevada is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .373
San Jose State is 1-4 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .362
San Jose State is 8-6 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .441
San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564
San Jose State is 9-7 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .455
San Jose State’s RBs has rushed for 2,435 yards on 394 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs has rushed for 2,435 yards on 394 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense have allowed 5.1 YPC since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.