The Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-2) on Sep. 28 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Nebraska vs. Purdue Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Nebraska vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nebraska vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 84.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today
- Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alex Bullock has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Malachi Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nebraska is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
Nebraska is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .614
Nebraska is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
Nebraska is 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .455
Nebraska is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Purdue is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .448
Purdue is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Purdue is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .427
Purdue is 4-8 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538
Purdue’s TEs has gained 177 yards on 14 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has gained 515 yards on 48 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.