Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-3) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (2-3) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Champaign.

Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Nebraska vs. Illinois Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 62.1% confidence.

Nebraska vs Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 19% ROI)

  • Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Grant has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Gabe Ervin Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jeff Sims has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marcus Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Anthony Grant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Isaiah Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Luke Altmyer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Reggie Love III has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Tip Reiman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -5.29% ROI
  • Nebraska is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Nebraska is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois is 0-5 against the spread this college football season (-5.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Illinois is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -8.43% ROI
  • Illinois is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Illinois is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Nebraska is 1-12 (.077) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

Nebraska is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .424

Nebraska is 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .512

Nebraska is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438

Illinois is winless (0-3) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

Illinois is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .456

Illinois is 1-7 (.125) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496

Illinois is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .528

Illinois has gained 3,954 yards on 378 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) since the 2022 season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has averaged 23.4 targets per game this season — second-highest among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 16.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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