The North Carolina State Wolfpack (2-1) visit Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (0-3) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Charlottesville.
NC State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The NC State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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NC State vs Virginia Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts NC State will win this game with 78.2% confidence.
NC State vs Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts NC State will cover the spread with 74.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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NC State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)
Best NC State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for NC State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jordan Houston has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Keyon Lesane has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Perris Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Malik Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Malachi Fields has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Mike Hollins has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tony Muskett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- NC State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- NC State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- NC State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Virginia is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Virginia is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Virginia is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
North Carolina State is 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .559
North Carolina State is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .383
North Carolina State is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .408
North Carolina State is 5-1 (.625) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 38th-best in FBS; Average: .551