NC State vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13
NC State vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (7-4) visit Kenan Memorial Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (9-2) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Chapel Hill.

North Carolina are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The NC State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 56 total points.

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NC State vs North Carolina Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 57% confidence.


Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Antoine Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)

  • NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)

  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 10 games at home (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State has gone 2-8 against the spread this college football season (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • NC State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -39.23% ROI
  • NC State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
  • NC State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -22.12% ROI
  • North Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • North Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

North Carolina State is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .298

North Carolina State is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .560

#18 North Carolina is undefeated (8-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for best in FBS; Average: .504

#18 North Carolina is 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .511

#18 North Carolina is 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .497

#18 North Carolina is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

  
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