The North Carolina State Wolfpack (7-5) visit Camping World Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (7-4) on Dec. 28 in Orlando, FL.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The North Carolina State vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs Kansas State Prediction, Pop-Tarts Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this bowl game with 64.5% confidence.
North Carolina State vs Kansas State Spread Prediction, Pop-Tarts Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.05 Units / 41% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keyon Lesane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Houston has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jadon Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 3.82% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 41.32% ROI
- North Carolina State is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- North Carolina State is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI).
- Kansas State is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -6.97% ROI
- Kansas State is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
North Carolina State is 15-7 (.652) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .511
North Carolina State is 11-6 (.579) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: .451
North Carolina State is 12-2 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 17th-best in FBS; Average: .549
North Carolina State is 18-6 (.667) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 26th-best in FBS; Average: .530
Kansas State is undefeated (12-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509
Kansas State was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367
Kansas State is 21-8 (.724) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .563
Kansas State was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .631
Kansas State’s TEs has gained 871 yards on 64 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — third-best among Big 12 TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has averaged 8.0 targets per game this season — third-highest among Big 12 TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for 24th-worst among FBS defenses.