After a day off on the hardwood on Sunday, we are back with a loaded 13-game slate in the association and there's plenty of value on the betting board; it's our job to find it. These are my favorite NBA player prop bets for Monday, December 11.
Gordon Hayward (CHA) under 16.5 points (-125)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 1u wager.
The veteran forward Gordon Hayward has cleared this line in four straight games and it is scary to fade a hot scorer but we will do so since this projection is just too high. During this four-game span, Hayward has shot an uber-efficient 60.3% from the field and 50.0% from three, which is already bound to regress at some point, but he also doesn't get an easy spot today.
With the Miami Heat missing their top-two defenders in Bam Adebayo and Haywood Highsmith, the Hornets will have an easier go scoring on drives and through their top options, headlined by Terry Rozier. In the absence of Adebayo, the Heat defense is susceptible to the three-ball and the paint but ranks as the third-best in the NBA in the midrange area and the best in the restricted area. Since Charlotte's lineup shift following the return of Miles Bridges, 49.6% of Hayward's field goal attempts come from those two zones, and over the larger same size of games since last season, Hayward already averages only 15.7 points per game without LaMelo Ball.