We are just a few weeks away from the finishing touches to the NBA regular season. I am now 41-31 for a +8.7% ROI on the season with player props in this article series. Here is favorite NBA player prop bet for Friday, March 2.
Devin Vassell, SG, SAS, Over 2.5 threes made (+100)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 1u wager.
Devin Vassell has been a streaky scorer this season and has failed to hit this line 3 of his last 4 games. However, the minutes have been on the table for him (35-plus minutes in 10 straight games despite varying games-cripts) and when the matchup is even somewhat friendly, the volume has been there. Overall, since being reinserted into San Antonio’s starting lineup, Vassell averages 2.5 makes on 6.6 attempts from 3 per 35 minutes when Victor Wembanyama is active.
The Memphis Grizzlies are a dream matchup. Over their last 15 games they are a bottom-10 defense against catch-and-shoot 3s, corner3s and above-the-break 3s. Vassell is the leader out of the starting lineup in catch-and-shoot 3-point volume and in a premium spot to bounce back. In this draw, I project the Florida State product for 7.25 attempts and 2.65 makes from deep — which means even money is a fantastic buy for this prop.
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