The NBA playoff slate is loaded with the Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers and the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks, and we're offering our expert NBA player props and expert picks for Wednesday based on the best NBA odds.
The second round of the NBA playoffs rages on with the Boston Celtics having a chance to eliminate the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET (TNT) from TD Garden in Boston.
The Cavaliers enter Game 5 as 14.5-point underdogs across our best sports betting sites to the NBA championship odds-favorite Celtics. The situation is dire for Cleveland with Donovan Mitchell's status up in the air.
Then at 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT) from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, the Oklahoma City Thunder and NBA Finals MVP odds contender Shai Gilgeous-Alexander look to take a 3-2 series lead over the Dallas Mavericks. T he Thunder are 4.5-point home favorites.
Along with our Cavaliers vs. Celtics player props and our Mavericks vs. Thunder player props, here are our NBA player props and expert picks for Wednesday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Wednesday's NBA expert picks
- Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 points (+100 via DraftKings) ???
- Evan Mobley Over 26.5 points + rebounds (-120 via bet365) ????
- Luka Doncic Under 46.5 points + rebounds + assists (+100 via DraftKings) ???
- Jalen Williams Over 10.5 rebounds + assists (-104 via FanDuel) ????
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Wednesday's NBA sc hedule and odds
(Odds via bet365)
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Spread: Celtics -14.5 | Total: 205.5
- Mavericks vs. Thunder | Spread: Thunder -4.5 | Total: 213
NBA player props
The Jayson Tatum haters are punching the air right now as he leads the Celtics into Game 5 against the Cavaliers. Following a slow start to the playoffs, the five-time All-Star has put up back-to-back 33-point performances against a banged-up Cleveland squad.
After averaging just 15.4 field goals in the first round against the Miami Heat, Tatum has embraced his role as the lead scorer and taken 25 shots in each of his last two games while going 18-for-18 from the free-throw line. I expect Tatum to continue taking on a bigger load.
But the reason I love this prop is this outlier price. This same prop is as short as -120 at our other best sports betting apps. Those odds imply a 54.64% probability the prop cashes, according to our odds calculator, but our price pays out $20 on a $10 bet.
Best odds: +100 via DraftKings
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At this point, I'm not sure how Cleveland fans manage to get out of bed every morning. The Guardians are one of the MLB's biggest teases, the Browns are a perpetual dumpster fire who found out Joe Flacco is better than their “franchise” QB, and the Cavaliers finally look good post-LeBron but can't stay healthy.
Heading into Game 5, Mitchell and Jarrett Allen are both questionable, and neither suited up in Game 4. I like this prop even if they play, but I love it even more if they don't take the court. Evan Mobley has been the Cavs' second-most consistent threat in the playoffs.
He's averaging 18.5 points and 10 rebounds against the Celtics and has topped 25.5 combined in three of four games. The odds imply a 54.55% probability he hits the Over with a $10 bet leading to an $8.33 profit.
Best odds: -120 via bet365
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A Dallas sports franchise that entered the season with sky-high hopes only to limp its way to the finish line and fall short of a championship? Jerry Jones can relate. But Luka Doncic literally is limping due to his sprained knee and sore ankle, and it's impacted his ability to score.
Though he did have a triple-double in Game 4 against the Thunder, Doncic's 3-point shooting has been a mess since injuring his knee against the Los Angeles Clippers. As a result, he's averaging just 40.6 combined points, rebounds, and assists against OKC and hasn't topped 46.5 in the series.
Without Doncic being able to score to boost his PRA, I prefer this prop to his point total, which has dropped to 27.5. These odds imply a 50% probability the Under hits with a $10 bet paying out $20.
Best odds: +100 via DraftKings
Every coach wants a player like Jalen Wil liams. He's a feisty defender, an efficient shooter, an energetic rebounder, and a willing passer. (His brother Cody is expected to be a lottery pick in the 2024 NBA Draft for many of the same reasons.)
Even while Williams has been inconsistent as a scorer against Dallas, he's found other ways to be impactful, particularly with his rebounding and playmaking as of late. Williams is averaging a combined 14.5 rebounds and assists over his last two games and has topped 10.5 in six of eight playoff games.
With Williams averaging 6.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists for the playoffs, these -104 odds are great value. They imply a 50.98% probability he hits the Over with a $10 bet paying out $19.62.
Best odds: -104 via FanDuel
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NBA player props made Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
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