Can Stephen Curry beat the NBA MVP frontrunner on Friday and more importantly give us a green check mark on his player prop? Jon Metler shares his NBA best bets for Friday's schedule using the best NBA odds.
Joel Embiid is the favorite to win his first NBA MVP award, but on Friday, the Philadelphia 76ers star will face a two-time winner of the award in Stephen Curry, and the Golden State Warriors sniper is the one we're looking to back with a straight bet.
Last week, we won 6.63 units on our NBA best bets and we have a 10-4 record for +6.24 units this week. It's time to finish the week strong and win more units than we did last week.
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Friday's NBA schedule and odds
(odds via FanDuel)
- Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics (-12)
- San Antonio Spurs vs. Washington Wizards (-7)
- Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors (-12.5)
- Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzles (-13)
- Charlotte Hornets vs. Dallas Mavericks (-13)
- Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5) vs. Utah Jazz
- Chicago Bulls (-2) vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors (-5)
- Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings (-4.5)
- Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers (-6)
Friday's NBA best bets
- Player Prop: Stephen Curry Over 26.5 points vs. 76ers (-120 via BetMGM) ????
Friday's NBA player prop picks
It's Friday at 6:30 a.m. and I think one of the sportsbooks is still sleeping with its Curry points prop against the 76ers. FanDuel has this prop trading with a total of 27.5, while BetMGM has chosen to use 26.5.
As Curry is projected to score 28.7 points against the Sixers, the difference between 26.5 and 27.5 makes a significant difference in our expected value, especially considering the juice at BetMGM is -120. DraftKings also has the total set at 26.5 but with a much higher juice of -135.
According to our projections of Curry scoring 28.7 points, this prop can be priced at -135 to go over the total, which is ironically the same price as DraftKings. Just hit the button and you'll have a bet with a 5% positive expected value in your account before you even eat breakfast.
Stephen Curry player prop bet made 03/24/2023 at 6:40 a.m. ET.
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