We're analyzing our favorite NBA player props and the best bets for Friday, based on the best NBA odds.
The last weekday of 2023 goes out with a bang thanks to a jumbo, 10-game slate in the Association. The Brooklyn Nets head to the nation's capital in search of a win against the struggling Washington Wizards.
The Sacramento Kings travel east to face the Atlanta Hawks in what should be a high-scoring matchup. The shorthanded Philadelphia 76ers play their third straight on the road when they face off with the Houston Rockets, and the Phoenix Suns host the Charlotte Hornets in the desert.
Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Friday (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Friday's NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via DraftKings)
- < li>Brooklyn Nets (-6) vs. Washington Wizards
- New York Knicks (+1.5) vs. Orlando Magic
- Milwaukee Bucks (-6) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Sacramento Kings (+1) vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Toronto Raptors (+8) vs. Boston Celtics
- Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5) vs. Houston Rockets
- Oklahoma City Thunder (+3) vs. Denver Nuggets
- Charlotte Hornets (+15.5) vs. Phoenix Suns
- San Antonio Spurs (+5.5) vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Memphis Grizzlies (+5.5) vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Friday's NBA best bets
- Cam Johnson Over 2.5 three-pointers vs. Wizards (-104 via DraftKings) ????
- De'Anthony Melton Over 24.5 points+rebounds+assists (+105 via DraftKings) ???
- Domantas Sabonis Over 21.5 points vs. Hawks (-110 via DraftKings) ???
- Jusuf Nurkic Over 13.5 points vs. Celtics (-105 via bet365) ????
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He's averaging 2.5 triples per game this season, but over his last 13, he's averaged 2.7 and hit at least three of them in nine contests. Johnson has hit this mark in 13 of 23 games overall this season, including eight on the road, and he's averaged 3.0 triples per game on the road compared to 2.2 at home.
Washington's defense is the worst in the Association this season, as the Wizards have allowed the most points per game. The Wizards are middle-of-the-pack in three-pointers allowed overall, but they allow the second-most made triples and the third-highest three-point percentage at home. Johnson should have no problem cashing this one.
We took Melton's PRAs prop Wednesday with Joel Embiid sidelined, and we're going back to the well after he cashed the alternate total with a 22/5/1 line against the Magic. We'll take the alternate total at DraftKings and bet this one up to 24.5 for plus money.
In five games without Embiid this season Melton has averaged 18.2 points, 5.0 rebounds, 3.4 assists and delivered at least 25 PRAs in every contest. No player has benefited more from Embiid's absence than Melton, and the matchup with Houston is not a scary one given the Rockets' recent struggles.
Melton has averaged 21.9 PRAs on the road compared to 17.4 at home, and he's in prime position to cash this prop for a sixth straight game without Embiid.
Sabonis is averaging 19.4 points per game this season, including 20.3 points on the road and 18.8 at home. He's in a favorable spot to post some strong scoring numbers on the road against Atla nta tonight.
The Hawks allow the third-most points to opponents on the season and the 10th-most rebounds. Atlanta has been crushed on the offensive glass, allowing the third-most offensive boards to opponents. The Hawks gave up 24 points and 25 rebounds to Andre Drummond on Wednesday.
Sabonis should have no shortage of scoring opportunities Friday night, especially if he can secure offensive rebounds and get second-chance points. He's scored at least 22 points in 12 of 29 games on the season, including three of his last five. The Kings' big man is in a great spot, and we're taking the Over.
Nurkic missed two straight games and logged only 14 minutes Wednesday against Houston in his return. Foul trouble and a comfortable win over the Rockets kept Nurkic from playing bigger minutes, but he should see a normal workload in this one.
Charlotte allows the fifth-most paint points and t he fifth-most points overall, which lines up nicely for Nurkic to feast in the paint.
Over their last four, the Hornets have allowed starting centers to average 20 points per game, and all of them have scored at least 18 points. Excluding his 14-minute game, Nurkic has scored at least 14 points in four of his last six outings.
He averages 13 points per game at home compared to just 10.8 on the road, and he's scored at least 14 points in eight home games on the season. We'll take the Over and a line that is mis-priced at bet365.
NBA best bets made Friday at 1:45 a.m. ET.
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