Exactly a week after their matchup in South Beach, the Heat and Lakers conclude their regular-season series with another clash tonight at Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off is at 10:00 pm ET on ESPN — continue reading below to see my Same Game Parlay.
We will have picks on the side and total for all 12 games happening tonight in our NBA predictions, so make sure you check those out. Let's dive in!
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Over 229.5 total points (-110)
Even Miami Heat games haven't been immune to the huge increase in scoring happening in the NBA lately. Two of their last 3 games have seen 249 and 243 points scored, and against the high-paced Lakers we could very well be in for a similar scoreline tonight. Despite the teams combining for just 210 points a week ago, tonight's game has the potential to go in a slightly different direction. The Lakers are relying on their pace to win games. They've put up 121, 130 and 129 in their last 3 wins, not caring too much about the defensive side of things. A high-scoring game would favor the home team as the Lakers average 104.4 possessions per game which is 2nd only to the Golden State Warriors. LeBron James has scored 40+ points in back-to-back games, coming back home from a long road trip he will want to put on a show for the home fans as well. Miami's 3-point defense has been just awful this year, and over their last 3 games they've allowed an average of 15.3 threes a night, which is 3rd-worst in the NBA during that stretch. The Lakers should come out firing, which should result in at least 230 points combined between the teams.