I went 2-1 with my trio of totals picks for Tuesday’s NBA Playoff games, so let’s try to match or exceed that with 3 more over/under plays for Wednesday’s slate.
Today, I like a pair of under plays and an over, so let's get into explaining the reasoning behind those picks.
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Under 227 points in Lakers vs Grizzlies (-110)
It’s Game 2 between the Lakers and Grizzlies in Memphis and there are major injury concerns for the Grizzlies. Ja Morant is listed as day-to-day and that makes this game incredibly tough to handicap. The public has rushed to back the Lakers, flipping the line to Los Angeles -1. The Lakers seem to be healthy and from the looks of Game 1, are clicking on all cylinders offensively as they shot over 53% from the field and 43% from deep. Those are numbers that are well above their season averages. The question is whether they duplicate it in one of the toughest road environments.
If Morant doesn't play, that doesn't mean the Grizzlies are dead in the water. They have proved they can win without him. Also, the Grizzlies were in a 1-point game with 3:11 left and didn't score a single point the rest of the way. Los Angeles also got 29 points from Rui Hachimura and 23 points from Austin Reaves, who averaged under 24 points per game combined during the regular season. I don't think that will happens again in Game 2. All of this adds up to an under 227 for me in Game 2.
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