Navy vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Navy Midshipmen visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers on Sep. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Memphis.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).

The Navy vs. Memphis Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Navy vs Memphis Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 84.5% confidence.

Navy vs Memphis Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Navy have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Navy is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Navy is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • Navy is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Memphis is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.12% ROI
  • Memphis is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Memphis is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Navy is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .440

Navy is winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338

Navy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Navy is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .342

Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 520 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2022 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 520 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2022 season — sixth-best among FBS defenses.

  
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