The Navy Midshipmen (4-0) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (1-3) on Oct. 5 in USAFA, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Navy is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Navy vs. Air Force Over/Under is 35.5 total points.
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Navy vs Air Force Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 71.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 71.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Navy Player Prop Bets Today
- Eli Heidenreich has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brandon Chatman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Navy is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 27.21% ROI
- Navy is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
- Navy is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).
- Air Force is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -57.14% ROI
- Air Force is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
- Air Force is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
Navy is 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .609
Navy is 6-2 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .650
Navy is 8-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Navy is 6-2 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .597
Air Force is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .392
Air Force is winless (0-5) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .320
Air Force is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .547
Air Force is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .336
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 265 passing yards in 4 games (just 66.2 YPG) this season — worst among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense has allowed 267.5 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s WRs have just 70.5 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 183.2 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.