The Washington Nationals (-120) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+100) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-21 ATS.
Nationals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.02 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-3, 4.33 ERA
Nationals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+24.90 Units / 415% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 25-14 against the Run Line (+9.03 Units / 17.73% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 24.15% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.36% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 7.34% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -8.92% ROI).
- 12-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -28.86% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.33% ROI
White Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
White Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jacob Young (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,061/2,090) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (335/933) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (577/1,499) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (817/2,090) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 48% (128/264) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 17% (9 SO in 54 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 29 of 178 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (25/47) against Erick Fedde in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.