The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-275) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Nationals vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 11-10 ATS.
Nationals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.95 Units / 73% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.45 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 54% ROI)
Twins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Alex Call | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Twins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Alex Call | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Twins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Alex Call | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Patrick Corbin | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Bailey Ober | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.30 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 12-8 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 17.52% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.25% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.16% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 1.36% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -17.63% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 9.33% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (13 SO in 96 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has an ERA of 7.71 (72.1 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 4.05 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .244 (10-for-41) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — ninth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .430 (228 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .317 — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried allowed a slugging percentage of just .189 (25 Total Bases / 132 ABs) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (104/184) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in 2022 — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 93rd Percentile.
Max Fried allowed an OPS of just .418 (149 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 100th Percentile.