The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-275) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Nationals vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 11-10 ATS.

Nationals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.45 Units / 68% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.95 Units / 73% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.45 Units / 78% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 54% ROI)

Twins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.30 Units / 79% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 12-8 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 17.52% ROI).

• 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.25% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -3.2% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.16% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 1.36% ROI).

• 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -7.94% ROI
• 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -17.63% ROI
• 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 9.33% ROI

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (13 SO in 96 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has an ERA of 7.71 (72.1 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 4.05 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .244 (10-for-41) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — ninth Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .430 (228 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .317 — first Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried allowed a slugging percentage of just .189 (25 Total Bases / 132 ABs) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (104/184) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in 2022 — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 93rd Percentile.

Max Fried allowed an OPS of just .418 (149 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 100th Percentile.

  
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