The Washington Nationals (+250) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-300) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Twins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 6-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 11-9 ATS.
Nationals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 62% ROI)
Twins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Twins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Twins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Twins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Pablo Lopez | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Chad Kuhl | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 11-8 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 12.72% ROI).
- 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -15% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -8.15% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.14% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 7.42% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -22.97% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 15.07% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 7.88 (64.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 3.90 — first Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .560 (223 Total Bases / 398 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 35 of Chad Kuhl’s 266 elevated fastballs out of the zone (13%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has located his fastball up for a strike just 47% (319/676) of the time since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 35% (18/51) against Pablo Lopez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (29/72) against Pablo Lopez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (19/40) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.