The Washington Nationals (+130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-155) on Thursday, April 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Nationals vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 1-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 2-4 ATS.

Nationals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 48.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Israel Pineda has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Patrick Corbin has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+4.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Sean Bouchard has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Rockies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+14.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 49 away games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 79 of their last 137 games (+13.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 1-5 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -66.13% ROI).

• 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -57.5% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 12.69% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -17.69% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -34.81% ROI).

• 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -8.33% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -4.32% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .737 (160 Total Bases / 217 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (248 Total Bases / 359 ABs) on fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .437 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 51% (21/41) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed an OPS of 1.209 (22 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .697 — second Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

28 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (2/33) against Kyle Freeland this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (287/514) of opposing batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.

  
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