The Washington Nationals (+135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-160) on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Nationals are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 1-0 ATS.
Nationals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+20.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 81 away games (+14.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+10.93 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 135% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 66.67% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .293 (210-for-717) against Patrick Corbin in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strikeout rate of just 16% (124/790) in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strike rate of just 58% (451/776) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin allowed an OBP of .344 (787 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — fourth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
49% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (179/518) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 25% (32/128) against Hunter Greene in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene struck out 34% (83/244) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.