The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-185) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Nationals are 39-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 39-44 ATS.

Nationals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-7, 5.49 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-4, 3.78 ERA

Nationals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 away games (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 80 games (+24.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 23% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 48-34 against the Run Line (+10.98 Units / 10.43% ROI).

• 39-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 11.27% ROI
• 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -8.7% ROI
• 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.03 Units / 0.03% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 39-44 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -7.53% ROI).

• 41-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -9.41% ROI
• 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.66% ROI
• 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -7.86% ROI

Rays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .490 (317 Total Bases / 647 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .311 (122-for-392) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .315 (204-for-647) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — fourth Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .853 (705 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — fourth Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taj Bradley has walked 4 of 22 batters (18%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (112/342) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Taj Bradley has walked 5 of 45 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for 4th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — 10th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (22/102) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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