The Washington Nationals (+135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-160) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Nationals are 38-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 39-43 ATS.

Nationals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 5-6, 3.14 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-5, 5.21 ERA

Nationals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 73 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 73 games (+11.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 75 games (+5.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 away games (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 79 games (+23.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 47-34 against the Run Line (+9.98 Units / 9.65% ROI).

• 38-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 10.05% ROI
• 36-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -9.93% ROI
• 41-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.13 Units / 1.26% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 39-43 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -6.68% ROI).

• 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -8.18% ROI
• 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.78% ROI
• 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -6.74% ROI

Rays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (352/1,007) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (74/355) against Jake Irvin with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (112/311) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (503/1,471) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (74/244) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (80/244) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2022 season is 382.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .515 (69 Total Bases / 134 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — fifth Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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