The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-175) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Nationals are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 14-16 ATS.

Nationals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 2-0, 2.81 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-3, 6.27 ERA

Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+30.50 Units / 436% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+16.20 Units / 135% ROI)
• Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 59% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 150 games (+18.83 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 150 games (+13.38 Units / 7% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 18-11 against the Run Line (+4.98 Units / 12.86% ROI).

• 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 21.9% ROI
• 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -14.07% ROI
• 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.63 Units / 5.07% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 14-16 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -9.99% ROI).

• 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.94% ROI
• 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.05% ROI
• 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 8.14% ROI

Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,029/2,023) of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Trevor Williams has a strike rate of just 52% (458/887) on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (561/1,091) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (733/1,432) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .200 against Andrew Heaney on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP– 86th Percentile. Opponents batted .440 (33-for-75) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– sixth Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 41% (17/42) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (6/26) against Andrew Heaney — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 56% (503/898) of the time since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers w ith at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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