The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-150) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Nationals are 14-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-16 ATS.

Nationals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-2, 3.12 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 0-1, 2.92 ERA

Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+31.50 Units / 525% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+11.75 Units / 73% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+16.20 Units / 135% ROI)
• Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 49% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 152 games (+20.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 82 of their last 152 games (+18.88 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 150 games (+13.38 Units / 7% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 18-10 against the Run Line (+6.48 Units / 17.41% ROI).

• 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 26.19% ROI
• 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -14.55% ROI
• 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.63 Units / 5.25% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 13-16 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -13.57% ROI).

• 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -3.79% ROI
• 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.61% ROI
• 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 8.44% ROI

Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .390 (16-for-41) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (79/214) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (57/109) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has walked 23 of 199 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .454 (64-for-141) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.

Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of 52% (12 SO in 23 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (67/108) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (139/224) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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