The Washington Nationals (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Nationals are 62-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 77-63 ATS.

Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-7, 4.08 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA

Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+15.30 Units / 102% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+21.40 Units / 357% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.15 Units / 139% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+9.80 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 68 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+15.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+9.80 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 46% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 78-62 against the Run Line (+5.88 Units / 3.2% ROI).

• 62-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.01% ROI
• 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -4.64% ROI
• 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.47 Units / -4.17% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 77-63 against the Run Line (+10.51 Units / 5.79% ROI).

• 66-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -5.47% ROI
• 68-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -3.76% ROI
• 67-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.82 Units / -4.46% ROI

Pirates vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Davidjohn Herz has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 81.1.

Davidjohn Herz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — Framber Valdez has the longest active streak at 17.0.

Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 68% (562/822) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 17% (23 SO in 138 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (119 Total Bases / 215 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .908 (238 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — first Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .354 (237 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .302 (65-for-215) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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