The Washington Nationals (+230) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 48-89 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 69-67 ATS.
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -150 |
| Anibal Sanchez | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 60-77 against the Run Line (-23.85 Units / -14.38% ROI).
- 48-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -9.9% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.15% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 69-67 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.36% ROI).
- 76-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 1.75% ROI
- 69-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.7% ROI
- 62-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -8.92% ROI
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.2 innings pitched — Brayan Bello has the longest active streak at 20.1.
Anibal Sanchez has pitched 10.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 41.1.
Anibal Sanchez has walked 5 of 45 batters (11%) — tied for 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has walked 5 of 33 right-handed batters (15%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has walked 24 of 698 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 71% (332/466) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 12.9 (103/8) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.9 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (11-for-68) against Aaron Nola on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — 97th Percentile.