The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 48-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-67 ATS.
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 36 away games (+22.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+18.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 away games (+17.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+13.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 39 of his last 52 games at home (+15.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 54 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -125 |
| Erick Fedde | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 60-75 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -13.26% ROI).
- 48-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 67-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.13% ROI
- 61-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -8.2% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 67-67 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.6% ROI).
- 74-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.77% ROI
- 68-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 0.84% ROI
- 61-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -8.98% ROI
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has walked 20 of 113 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (227/1,022) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (441/801) of opposing batters since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 61% (1,277/2,109) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Ranger Suárez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (219/381) against Ranger Suarez this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season (102 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 89.7
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .333 (35 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .577 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (19/148) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.