The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 20-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 26-20 ATS.
Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-4, 3.38 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-3, 3.24 ERA
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+21.90 Units / 243% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+11.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+16.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+10.80 Units / 98% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 away games (+2.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 29 games (+20.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+17.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 39% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 26-17 against the Run Line (+6.83 Units / 12.3% ROI).
- 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 16.99% ROI
- 17-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -19.73% ROI
- 24-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.08 Units / 10.65% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 26-20 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 13.08% ROI).
- 32-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 15.67% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.2% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -8.87% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of MacKenzie Gore’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (33/89) against MacKenzie Gore on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (40/109) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 42% (36/86) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .383 (154 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .408 (71 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (77/129) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.