The Washington Nationals (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 36-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 56-51 ATS.

Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 37 games at home (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 58 of their last 96 games (+20.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 88 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 games (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 102 games (+13.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+6.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-63 against the Run Line (-25.35 Units / -18.93% ROI).

• 36-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.75 Units / -19.2% ROI
• 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.74% ROI
• 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -7.22% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 56-51 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 3.93% ROI).

• 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 2.13% ROI
• 54-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 2.08% ROI
• 47-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -10.32% ROI

Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 6% (1/16) against Cory Abbott — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

The last hit on a Cory Abbott fastball was June 19th. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his fastball. — James Karinchak has the longest active streak at 20.

Cory Abbott has allowed an OPS of just .335 (25 PA’s) — 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .697 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .095 (2-for-21) against Cory Abbott — 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .245 — 94th Percentile.

Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola has walked 6 of 279 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (379/542) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 18 of 539 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 13.8 (83/6) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.7 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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