The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-275) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 36-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 55-51 ATS.
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Sosa | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Sosa | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jean Segura | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Sosa | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-62 against the Run Line (-24.35 Units / -18.32% ROI).
- 36-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -18.48% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.58% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.32% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-51 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 3.19% ROI).
- 58-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.24% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -9.44% ROI
Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .333 (261 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .326 (156-for-479) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .322 (119-for-370) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .250 (58-for-232) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.
Ranger Suarez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Caleb Ferguson has the longest active streak at 19.0.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (107/561) against Ranger Suarez since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .326 (30 Total Bases / 92 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (1,046/2,154) since the start of last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.