The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 36-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-51 ATS.
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Josiah Gray | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-61 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -17.55% ROI).
- 36-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -17.74% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.37% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-51 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 2.39% ROI).
- 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 0.78% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.25% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -9.52% ROI
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .796 (125 Total Bases / 157 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .548 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 30 of 198 left-handed batters (15%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 56% (464/830) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (101 Total Bases / 161 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (260/451) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (10th lowest)– 16th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of 23% (17 SO in 75 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 86th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (12-for-66) against Kyle Gibson on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.