The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 38-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 42-42 ATS.

Nationals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 1-1, 4.50 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 6-6, 4.14 ERA

Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.20 Units / 237% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+13.15 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games (+38.30 Units / 295% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+14.55 Units / 86% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 71 games (+16.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 71 games (+13.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 73 games (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+9.80 Units / 69% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+7.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 47-32 against the Run Line (+12.73 Units / 12.64% ROI).

• 38-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 12.7% ROI
• 35-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -10.06% ROI
• 40-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.33 Units / 1.52% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 42-42 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 2.58% ROI).

• 43-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -5.91% ROI
• 44-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.52% ROI
• 39-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -10.27% ROI

Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 44% (16 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has struck out 32% (21/65) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 94th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 48% of Davidjohn Herz’s pitches (53/110) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (54/155) against Davidjohn Herz this month (4 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has walked 75 of 727 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (4,388/7,972) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 47% of the time (746/1,590) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (158/424) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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