Nationals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 25
Nationals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 25

The Washington Nationals (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 38-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 41-42 ATS.

Nationals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 6-6, 3.46 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Adam Mazur 0-2, 7.14 ERA

Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.10 Units / 303% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 games (+39.30 Units / 328% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+15.55 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 70 games (+17.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games (+15.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 72 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 away games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 47-31 against the Run Line (+13.73 Units / 13.77% ROI).

  • 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 14.49% ROI
  • 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.43 Units / 2.82% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 41-42 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 1.63% ROI).

  • 42-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -6.97% ROI
  • 43-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • 39-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -9.2% ROI

Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Kyle Higashioka (SD) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Eddie Rosario (WAS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jurickson Profar (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Donovan Solano (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
CJ Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Eddie Rosario (WAS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Mazur (SD) 3.5 -135 3.5 +105
Mackenzie Gore (WAS) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (74/219) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (58/169) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .469 (23-for-49) against MacKenzie Gore when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — second Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

  
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