The Washington Nationals (+240) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-300) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 40-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-65 ATS.
Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -165 |
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 51-69 against the Run Line (-26.25 Units / -17.89% ROI).
- 40-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.1 Units / -16.17% ROI
- 60-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 53-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -9.37% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 56-65 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -8.14% ROI).
- 66-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -7.08% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.63% ROI
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .698 (37 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 56% (526/938) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strikeout rate of just 3% (2 SO in 76 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 49% (89/183) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove’s has 9 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .389 (14-for-36) against Joe Musgrove this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has walked 1 of 158 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 25% (135/533) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — fourth Percentile.