The Washington Nationals (+280) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-350) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Nationals vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 39-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-64 ATS.
Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 40 of his last 51 games (+17.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+16.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 107 games (+16.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 96 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 50-69 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -18.94% ROI).
- 39-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -18.65% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.61% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.64% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -7.18% ROI).
- 66-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -3.02% ROI
- 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.9% ROI
- 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.86% ROI
Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (8-for-43) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has averaged 88.5 MPH on fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.
Paolo Espino has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (50 Total Bases / 79 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 0 Percentile.
Paolo Espino has walked 17 of 387 left-handed batters (4%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 42 of 233 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 19 of 87 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has struck out 42% (24/57) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 57% (57 SO in 100 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.