The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-250) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Nationals vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 69-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 93-63 ATS.

Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 83.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 21 away games (+18.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
• James McCann has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 139 games (+22.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.83 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 153 games (+35.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 143 games (+26.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 85 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 82-75 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.52% ROI).

• 69-88 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 10.85% ROI
• 75-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -3.88% ROI
• 74-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -4.57% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 93-63 against the Run Line (+25.15 Units / 12.4% ROI).

• 97-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +34.75 Units / 17.18% ROI
• 79-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.48% ROI
• 65-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.15 Units / -12.83% ROI

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Greene threw 482 fastballs at 100+ MPH in 2022 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted .457 (21-for-46) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has an average spin rate of 1960.3 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2399.4 — first Percentile.

28 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has walked 4 of 127 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (366/634) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (113/427) against Kyle Bradish this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.

  
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