The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Nationals are 54-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 64-55 ATS.

Nationals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 8-10, 3.78 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-10, 4.74 ERA

Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 36 games (+18.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 50 games (+33.90 Units / 68% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.25 Units / 69% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+10.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 111 games (+7.30 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 56 away games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 110 games (+17.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+17.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 104 games (+13.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 67-52 against the Run Line (+6.53 Units / 4.14% ROI).

• 54-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 3.24% ROI
• 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.77 Units / -8.92% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 64-55 against the Run Line (+17.15 Units / 12.39% ROI).

• 70-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.94% ROI
• 66-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.4 Units / 15.81% ROI
• 42-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.05 Units / -23.77% ROI

Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (264/958) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (161/461) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (423/1,202) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (518/1,526) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strikeout rate of just 21% (5 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (84/302) against Trevor Rogers on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 50% (217/431) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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